Mostrar mensagens com a etiqueta ideology. Mostrar todas as mensagens
Mostrar mensagens com a etiqueta ideology. Mostrar todas as mensagens

sábado, 3 de outubro de 2020

The post-Covid world that will arrive… one day


 Summary:

1 - Human beings, instruments of capital

2- The infinite accumulation of capital

3 - Surplus of people

 

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1 - Human beings, instruments of capital

Among the multiple effects of the pandemic, some - non-sanitary ones - can be highlighted, such as greater difficulty in utilization, by the large emporiums, regarding the scrutiny, classification, manipulation of personal data, for purposes of their segmentation or homogenization, with the norms to be followed and the accompanying surveillance, diluting individual capacities in an alienating and useless work, articulated with a leisure time filled with mind-boggling activities.

These useless activities serve only to convince its practitioner to remain integrated at the circus of capital, however useless their "work" could be from an economic, social or, cultural enrichment point of view. Work, being an effort, only fits if it produces something socially necessary or useful; however, in many cases, the performer's entire life is crossed without him ever realizing the uselessness or damage that resulted from the application of his time and his physical and soul capacities. This distortion in the lives of human beings has become typical of capitalism and, due to its dimension, leads to damages of an animistic, environmental and sanitary nature that affect large human groups or even humanity; as is the case with military cannon.

In the past, in the dominant classes, especially in the nobility, their main activities were leisure and war, with the delivery of heritage management, the collection of taxes and tributes, to someone qualified for the purpose - an ecclesiastical or a commoner. In the other population strata, in the countryside or the embryonic cities, there was no place for useless tasks, seen as work; everyone knew the purpose and real usefulness of their work effort, even if it was leisure or the satisfaction of a gentleman's whim. It was a question of guaranteeing subsistence and measuring labor effort according to the needs of the family group and the payment of the tribute to the local master - in kind, young people for war or domestic service in the castle or palace.

In times of epidemic, bad harvests or, devastation by the war - there is no ... unemployment benefits or tasks defined by the public authorities to make up for the lack of income, as in the New Deal, the only emigration remained, or the search for occupation in the cities, where productive activity was much more diverse than in the countryside.

Mobility after the European expansion of the sixteenth century was extended to the global space, greed, spirit of adventure, war or through the trade of spices, slaves, weapons .. . This mobility involved areas where complex and even more advanced societies lived than European ones, but which gave in to European colonization. Where this did not happen, as in North America and the Caribbean, the rule was the extermination of its inhabitants and the massive recourse to slavery ... covered by the divine figures of the Christian pantheon and its priests.

Capitalism, generating the incessant demand for capital accumulation and benefiting from technologies that generate high productivity gains, could reduce the time dedicated to working, freeing Humanity from labor effort and giving it free time for its use in the delight of culture, sport, sociability ...

But it did not and will continue not to. It benefits from the essentials of productivity gains, builds huge bureaucracies and instruments for the control of labor and its workers so that the labor force remains pacified and captured by the logic of capitalism, accepting its subordination to the stars as written in the stars. capitalists.

An entire ideology based on the segmentation of labor income between workers and employers is developed; and these, even though they are very minority, benefit from the majority of gains. Capital leaders say that it is essential to have capitalists because they are the ones who create jobs, pay wages ... thus showing the secondary character, the accessory of workers. In the capitalists' bible, God created the capitalist and, as a result, created the wage earner to ensure the welfare and entertainment of the former.

2- The infinite accumulation of capital

Capitalism conceives no limits for accumulation and invents ways to increase it to infinity, to consolidate its perpetuity and perpetuate its power over the population and the resources of the planet. On the one hand, in terms of the production of goods and services, it seeks to maximize its supply to increase profits; and, on the other hand, in total contradiction, it seeks to maintain restraint in income from work knowing that restricted purchasing power means less consumption, less spending. And, that is why people point to the unreasonable recourse to debt to feed consumerism in all social strata, after the capacity to use labor income has dried up. How do you get out of this?

Of course, this is not enough. This results in dementia inherent in the financial system, which, as a central element in the multiplication of capital, is always overcome by a drive, gluttony that is never satisfied, with the increase and appreciation of the securities it issues; nor with the profit margins it obtains from the transactions it carries out, at all times. Hence the financial crises, the military conflicts and the "investment" in armaments, with the leadership of the managers of the big central banks, of global institutions such as the IMF or the BIS - Bank of International Settlements, which follows the situation of the global financial system; as well as national and political classes that are responsible for managing the impacts of financial folly governments, and turn them in social and economic crisis, with increasing sharpness and increasingly frequent, as can be seen by comparing the Wall crisis Street in 2008 with the one that develops in the coronavirus ride.

Financialization, with the creation of money exponentially, in a virtual way, inserted in networks of data circulation, generated in instantaneously way and linked together, is, at all times, speculative business networks. The material basis of the economy, based on the production of goods and services or domestic self-production and self-consumption, has lost relevance and has become an appendix, a by-product of the market, duly supervised by the state apparatus.

3 - Surplus of people[1]

There is a time of great uncertainty in the face of the virus and fear in the face of the assault on the income of the popular classes. Among the effects of the pandemic, some can be highlighted, such as greater difficulty in using, by the large emporiums, the scrutiny, the framing, the manipulation of personal data, for their segmentation or homogenization; also, with the establishment of standards to be complied with and adequate surveillance, diluting individual capacities in an alienating and useless work; or, with leisure time filled with mind-boggling activities. With these useless activities - not felt as such by the worker - it is intended to give him a false idea about the importance of his work. It is an alienating and pacifying practice - typical of capitalism.

In the pre-capitalist modes of production, labor functions could be painful, but their purposes were known; no one performed functions without knowing the objective, even if it was the satisfaction of a whim from his master. In capitalism, technologies would allow sharp reductions in working time, without loss of income, if all the functions to be performed were recognized as socially useful. This would mean increased leisure time, for study, culture or sport and this would result in the great political question - if the means allow the production of all goods and services useful to Humanity, it is necessary to abolish those who condemn the crowd to journeys of long, painful and low-income jobs. As well as all socially useless or harmful activities.

For the way the crowd - in times of covid-19 - allows for massive unemployment, the layoff, the extended resource to charity, the limitations in the circulation in the physical space, the loss of hours of life with the eyes glazed on the new screen, a very nebulous and not very promising future, it appears that the articulation between the capitalists and the political classes dominates the situation.

In Portugal, what followed the financial debacle caused by the PS-PSD party-state, before and during the troika's intervention (2011-2015); and, the pacification by the "left" of the sparse contestation then took place, still shows its effects. The Portuguese political class, as in other countries, did not solve any problems of those existing at that time and added the effects attributed to the covid-19.

The occupation of the State by political parties that place all the responsibilities for the economic and social management of society on their members and are attached, remits the population to the situation of meek and soft objects, of subordinates subordinated to the interests of the political class. The virus crisis, which has a duration far beyond what was initially foreseen, reveals, in a first instance, the immense inability of management by the political classes - with emphasis on Western Europe, USA and, Brazil - contrasting with the coldness and capacity observed in several East Asian countries. In all cases, however, there is a constant - the absence of popular initiatives capable of organizing themselves in a network, moving away from the pyramidal logic and the monstrous bureaucracy that characterizes state apparatus; the people stick to the TV and watch, passive, the repetitive spectacle starring hordes of mandarins and writers; and, being stupid, they will be ready to sleep with a mask or bathe in tar if determined by a prime minister.

If humanity cannot, due to physical or institutional limitations, produce the income necessary to accompany the speculative financial drift, it must resort to devices to increase the capital involved in the economic circuit; and in the process, the globalized financial system and the governments that serve it disrupt societies, spread suffering, artificialize economies, offend the planet.

In Portugal, this summer, the savings rate exceeded 10%, which is close to zero (when not negative) values ​​in recent years; and this is related to major drops in consumption and disposable income. The people have the good sense to take precautions for worse days, however, the banking system and governments do not know what may arise; for example, they can penalize accounts with a balance above a certain amount to encourage consumption or, increase the tax burden to reduce the public deficit. The power wants to return to the zero savings rate so that the money can be captured by the financial carousel; its business is to generate debt, not savings. And in 2023, it is expected that in Europe in the euro, there will be no money on paper or metal; everything will be recorded, not on the stars but the servers of the globalized financial system[2], a much higher degree of control over the lives of populations.

Today, the so desired economic growth, that of the nebulous GDP, has as its central and most usual feature, the recourse to debts contracted by families, companies and, States. The financial carousel runs on another stage.

·              As a rule, families are indebted to banks, namely to support homeownership and means of transport, essential needs neglected by States; these, avid tax collectors, gave their satisfaction to the sacred "private initiative"[3]. The debt gear, originating in families, has the following framework:

·              Families are indebted for decades, taking advantage of the low-interest rates granted by banks; and the States show their parasitism by collecting taxes - IMT, Selo and later, IMI, ad secula seculorum.

·              The risk for banks is low because the property is subject to mortgage and surety bonds; the risk is entire of the families, in cases of unemployment or marital separation, for example;

·              Low-interest rates are in line with wages, also with weak developments. And the former do not particularly concern banks, as will be seen below;

·              The creditor banks are not waiting for decades to pass to recover the borrowed capital and interest. They add up a large number of credits, share their value in securities they place on the financial market, recovering the equivalent of a large part of the credit granted to debtor families. This operation is called securitization and corresponds to the constitution of a cascade of successive operations, with the inclusion of new credits, involving successive groups of long-term home buyers or others;

·              Briefly, there is a family debt built up for several decades and a bank granting the loan. This bank will collect several loans of this type (and others) and issue bonds that will be purchased by other institutions, thus recovering a value that includes the value of the totality of these various loans granted. However, he did not cease to be a creditor of that family and others; only an expedient used to anticipate the return of the value of loan.

The transaction put into circulation a value that is the mirror of the housing loans included therein; and, this can be multiplied n times, as many as the securitizations made involving the debts, being able to be associated with a set of mirrors or the constitution of the pyramids of Ponzi, whose maximum value is, theoretically, the infinite. Putting all those debts together, the same bank becomes the debtor of those who purchased the bonds issued but collected money for new investments.

The transaction put into circulation a value that is the mirror of the housing loans included therein; and, this can be multiplied n times, as many as the securitizations made involving the debts, being able to be associated with a set of mirrors or the constitution of the pyramids of Ponzi, whose maximum value is, theoretically, the infinite. Putting all those debts together, the same bank becomes the debtor of those who purchased the bonds issued but collected money for new investments. The financial balance does not change; what is added is the present and future fiscal puncture to pay the public debt and private indebtedness, resulting from the abandonment by the states of housing and public transport policies in favor of the much sung private initiative.

Companies also resort to debt. Low-interest rates are rooted in central bank policy in the same direction, with due repercussions on commercial banking, which in turn develops securitization actions to free up capital for new loans.

Cheap credit - and the almost zero rates of return on deposits - work together to encourage consumption and, at the same time, discourage savings; hence, an almost obligation is formed in the sense of indebtedness… as it is in the interest of the financial system and the political classes that, in the sequence, take possession of the future of people and companies, captured by the obligations in the financial system. The credit training is born, not savings but in the Ponzi pyramid in which it appears the practice of securitization.

These pyramids are also magnified by the constant entry into the "legal" circuits of money from various types of traffic (drugs, weapons, human beings…), corruption, etc. to the joy of the financial system and the distracted eye of the supervision of central banks and other pompous regulators; as a rule, governments are more cautious about fiscal leakage from small businesses and very little about tax evasion from the wealthy [4]. These regulators and national governments have traditionally been distracted by the money that circulates between the visible financial system and the dozens of offshore registries around the world, especially on remote islands.

By maximizing the availability of cheap credit, companies reduce the use of equity; and, in the Portuguese case, it has also become trivialized - and for many years now - the use, by companies, of contributions, due and unpaid, to the sleepy Portuguese Social Security , parasitized by all governments ... without any protest from the union world or the parties opposition sayings. The decapitalization of Social Security  is a recurring practice that is part of a tacit agreement within the political class.

The competitiveness of companies will thus arise from low wage levels of workers - atomized and disorganized - in working hours unpaid in precarious work, dismissal or, even facilitated, by layoffs facilitated by the government in covid-19 times.

This whole system based on credit cascades is extremely vulnerable even if anchored at very low- interest rates, to avoid difficulties for companies and, linked to equally low inflation rates; thus, it fosters a high consumer propensity for the population, which, with stagnant wages, embarks on recourse to credit, facilitated by banking.

·              This model of integration of entities - companies, especially the smallest ones, the States and the banking sector - depends essentially on the central bank, which can hardly cancel it:

·              The supply of the financial system cannot be stopped because bank credit would be much more expensive and difficult to obtain without firm guarantees, which many companies could not offer;

·                Its cessation would lead to a huge global crisis, it would be the collapse of a house of cards, with the bankruptcy of countless companies, indebted and with an accumulation of bad loans in the banks. The activation of mortgages would lead to the accumulation of real estate without buyers and, therefore, devalued, with upstream impacts, on construction, which incorporates elements from many industries, services and work;

·                The dismissals of workers and the mobilization of replacement income, coming from the state level, not prevent m difficulties in paying the installments of loans for housing;

The subsequent effects on public accounts (deficits) would affect the usual use of public debt "auctions", certainly with much higher interest rates than today.

 

This and other texts in:

 

http://grazia-tanta.blogspot.com/

http://www.slideshare.net/durgarrai/documents     

https://en.scribd.com/uploads 

Grazia.tanta@gmail.com                                        1/10/2020                        1                                                   

 


[1] According to the Portuguese Minister of Labor, 42000 companies resorted to the simplified layoff (two minimum wages) and other measures that involved 380000 workers

[2]  The disappearance of physical money in Europe from the euro - today, a value of $ 14.5 ^ 11 - which will incorporate the availability of the financial system for speculation to which must be added the costs of supplying populations with notes and coins, leaving populations without any instruments of exchange other than a direct exchange of potatoes for onions, for example. If you think that the fortune of the five richest people on the planet - Bezos, Gates, Arnaud, Zuckerberg and, Ellison - is $ 414 ^ 9 … it might not be much…

[3] http://grazia-tanta.blogspot.pt/2012/12/a-nao-politica-de-habitacao-eo-imi-1.html 

http://grazia-tanta.blogspot.pt/2013/01/a-nao-politica-de-habitacao-eo-imi.html

[4]  In Portugal, the BES case is a good example of the interweaving of circuits and the parsimony of how governments view the issue, incorporating into their rosters people who are very well connected with the financial crime or senior law firms. No ruler wants to (or can) show himself as a Robin of the Woods, although the staff of the… sheriffs of Nottingham abound within him.

 

 

sábado, 22 de agosto de 2020

The volatile domain of financial wealth

 0 - Introduction

1 - How financial wealth is built

2 - The (ir) relevance of financial wealth per adult

3 - Where does financial wealth accumulate?

4 - Inequalities in the distribution of financial wealth

 

                                                                      ---- || ----

0 - Introduction

Recently we exposed elements on the wealth per adult for European countries and, for some other particularly relevant in the global context, for the years 2000, 2008 and, 2019, proceeding to the analysis of changes relevant. In summary, we refer here to the average value, a level overall, was $ 70849 / adult in 2019; and $ 48,507 or, $ 3141 5, respectively, in 2008 and 2000. It is not difficult to conclude that the financial crisis and austerities who have reached the great majority of human beings, walking aside to some that add their wealth. While governments are struggling to increase the diaphanous GDP[1], requiring sacrifices to the populations in general, the wealth accumulates, mainly in the form of registers contained in parks of mainframes.

The expression of total wealth, for each country, shows that Europe had a double indicator of that generated for the world as a whole, in 2000; that difference rises to 2.8 times in 2008 but declining to 2.2 times in 2019. They are very few countries that improve the indicator in 2008/2019 more than in 2000/2008 and inside this group, are the poorest, from Eastern Europe, beyond China, India and, Brazil. The global financial crisis particularly affected Europe, whose financial wealth grew 1.25% annually in 2008/2019 compared to 14.7% in the previous period. It is known... that Europe is becoming - economically and politically - on the Asian peninsula that it always has been, geographically.

 

1 - How financial wealth is built

More than half the world's wealth (62% in 2019) consists of financial assets as a result of increased mobility of these assets, their generation and, easy multiplication, repeatedly been almost instantaneous and off of any base material known or, "palpable". It is more tempting to bet on roulette in the financial markets and add value to so-called assets than to set up an industrial, trade or, services company and wait - a time that may be too long - to obtain a compensating reproduction of the invested capital. On the other hand, this company that produces goods or services also seeks to use its securities - shares, bonds, own or from other companies, to increase its profits and the appreciation attributed to it by the… market. This mobility, in substance, leads to the financial system taking over Humanity.  

Financial speculation seeks to value its assets - or rather, electronic registers - so instantaneous as possible; and it is always ready to value its assets, without limits, in a logic that can be defined mathematically in the form of Ponzi pyramids; or, like the desire of a Tantalum, permanently trying to indulge itself without ever achieving it.

There are constantly rises and falls in the value of these electronic records and, anything, or anyone, controls but where many are involved by applying their expectations real or disseminating false expectations for the unwary; and, all of this requires quick decisions, far beyond the ability of human beings to discern and,  delivered to supercomputers instructed by computer applications that search the financial market, local or global, in search of situations conducive of buying and selling assets. Hence the transition from euphoria to depression or, from this to the first, can be phenomena as surprising as they are uncontrollable. For example, recently, the Dow Jones index fell 4.4% on 2/27, 7.8% on 9/3, reaching the biggest break ever on 3/12 (10%), without any prediction of the break and, still less, of its size. 

Deposits and debts are now mere electronic records, and the well-known banknotes and coins represent only 5% of the total; and have, in Europe, the death announced for the next years making all purchases and transactions carried out only through electronic registers and circuits. It will be the time of the absolute domination of human beings by the financial system; today, in Portugal - and it will not be a unique case, of course - the NIF[2] is assigned shortly after birth. 

The old anchors for the constitution of currency and reserve of value - gold and silver - are valued at about $ 10900 billion[3] and, it is not expected that they will have great growth. And the global debt ($ 253000 billion) can never be exchanged, without a brutal devaluation, for precious metals, whose stock on the planet is limited. If we want to go further and enter into account with derivative products (valued at $ 1 trillion), is unimaginable the set of conflict, disorder and economic and social that power will result from his confrontation with reality, in which it is clear the impossibility to count on a Humanity capable of transforming such derivative products into goods and services. 

A typical case of currency/debt creation was created by Draghi, a man at Goldman Sachs, as the top head of the ECB. The model is simple. 

Some countries in Southern Europe, with high deficits and public debt, resort to debt issues in the “market”; buyers papers do not sit and happy with the low or negative interest rates and forward these credits to ECB as a guarantee of liquidity provided by the same. On the one hand, there is an increase in a country's public debt; and on the other, the securities are delivered by their owners to the ECB that accepts them as collateral for the money that ECB provides to be placed in speculative operations in the context of the global financial system, feeding the said scheme of Ponzi pyramid... ad infinitum. In this context, the ECB, the Eurogroup, the European Commission, will knowhow to impose their rules on countries with financial problems, even if it results in the impoverishment of their population; on the other hand, they will be happy for their contribution to the dynamization of the global financial system, without any constraints or controle.

In this context and as the financial system increases its role as a holder of power, more insignificant and volatile are the monetary reserves of banks (mainly central) and greater are the weaknesses of the financial system, which will tend to reproduce increasingly deep and frequent financial crises.

ECB is happy because it assumes rights over the debtor state, for an amount that it has, in the meantime, handed over to the speculator. If the speculator, however, disappears in the lust of the speculative market, the relationship between the ECB and the debt-issuing State remains unchanged, with its population being squeezed by its government, stimulated by the said ECB, with the latter demanding issuing State and the respective political class that complies with rigor and obedience, the fiscal exception, privatizations and all policies to pressure the population.

Intending to postpone ad infinitum the time for adjusting debt chains, the financial system controls states and political classes to press the population (and real or fictitious work) and generates cascades of consumption and investments where are anchored new and expanded circuits of monetary income and its anticipations through new debts. The said financial market is, for the crowd of humans, volatile as ether, expansive as a gas, poisonous as arsenic.

In case of failure of a big bank, there are states to balance the books of failed banks, as, among others, the Allied Irish Bank and other Irish banks, the Franco-Belgian Dexia or the polynomial known as BES / “Good” Bank / “Bad” bank / New Bank / Resolution Fund, where we highlight the moralistic designations of good and bad[4].

Ultimately, financial capital, after consuming everything around it, drowns in itself [5]; ... which would not be bad if it did not contaminate Humanity with its insatiable and demented gluttony. 2008, millions evicted from their homes, thrown out of work, burdened by public debt growth, gave a slight sample of the near bursting financial bubble. 

 

 

2 - The (ir)relevance of financial wealth per adult 

 

As shown in the following table, the share of financial wealth in total is, worldwide, and in 2019, 62.1%; slightly below that observed in 2000 but higher than that recorded in 2008. As we know, it was a time of economic and financial difficulties, essentially with the fall of Wall Street, the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers and, in Europe, with several banks to benefit from public support to cover toxic assets. And that situation involved and reached the States which, in turn, burdened the people with more debt charges, taxes, unemployment and, the effects of muscular interventions to become precarious people's lives... Covid-19 is filling a second chapter of the same impoverishing narrative, led by today's.

 

 

2000

2008

2019

2000/08

2008/19

1 - Total wealth / adult ($)

31415

48507

70849

+ 54.4%

+ 46.1%

2 - Adult / financial wealth ($)

20060

28232

44022

+ 40.7%

+ 55.9%

                                  2/1 (% )

63.9

58.2

62.1

-

-

 

The following chart identifies the weight of financial wealth for the set of countries already chosen in the previously published text, for the three selected years.

 

There, it is observed that the cases of a steady rise in the weight of financial wealth are, in general, those where their share is shown to be the lowest, all from the East and the Europeans, with emphasis on Albania and Belarus, each with 8.5% of the total, in 2000. The progressive integration of those countries in the EU, in its orbit and, in parallel, in the global financial system, fosters a greater weight of the financial wealth per adult in those countries. Thus, in 2019, the lowest indicators of participation in financial wealth are found in Albania (14.7%) and Lithuania (12.8%).

There are some countries where the 2008 crisis did not cause breaks in the weight of financial wealth, which continued growing in 2019. Among them, prevail Eastern countries but also, rich countries such as Denmark, Luxembourg and, Norway; apart from India and China, in 2019, with the last showing an higher rate to the European average.

Conversely and still in relation to 2008, some countries in 2019 reduced their absolute number of financial wealth - Cyprus (- 24%), Greece (- 22%), Italy (- 7%), Portugal (- 2%). Apart from Turkey which maintains the same level of financial wealth in 2008 and 2019 and, Japan (+ 3%), cases of slight increase show up in Ireland (4%) and Spain (7%), other victims of austerities and profound changes in indigenous financial systems.

In 2000 and 2008 the greatest indicators of financial wealth were found in the USA (80.1 and 85.2% of the respective total) and Switzerland (76.8% and 72.2%). In 2019, the United States has the highest worldwide rate of financial wealth (84.4% of the total), followed by Denmark (82.6%) and the Netherlands (79.9%).

                 Share of financial wealth in total wealth for each country (%)

              Primary source: Credit Suisse - Global wealth reports

 

The changes revealed by the graph above, synthetically, show:

   

·         Although the falls in the weight of financial wealth were approximated in 2000/2008 and 2008/2019, their dimension is much more accentuated in the first period. And this is reflected in the global indices; in 2000/2008 there was a fall in Europe of 10.1% and in the World of 5.7% and, in the last period, both are positive and approximate, 4.1% and 3.9%. The countries with breaks in both periods are Germany, Austria, Slovenia, Italy, Lithuania, Portugal and Switzerland;

 

·         The highest growth levels of financial wealth in the period 2008/2019, are revealed in a few countries - Belarus, Bulgaria, Denmark, the Netherlands and, the USA; much less numerous than in the previous period. The financialization of economies and their dominance over States, companies and, individuals is accentuated, taking into account the decline in economic activity that followed the financial crisis of 2008; as a consequence of this decline, with the increase of debts, mainly public.

 

·         The reinforcement of financialization is visible in the 2000/08 period and, in Eastern European countries, the object of changes aimed at following the steps of countries with older market economies. Among others, Hungary increases its financial wealth 38 times in that period, while Russia and Ukraine increase it, respectively, by 16 and 14 times. 

 

3 - Where does financial wealth accumulate? 

We aggregated all countries into four major groups - three according to the volume of their financial wealth per adult, within the scope of the initial selection - and another, with the rest of the world.

 

                       Table I - Financial wealth by groups of countries, by capitation rate per adult

Capitation per adult 

2000

2008

2019

$ 1000 million

%

$ 1000 million

%

$ 1000 million

%

< $ 10,000

2374

3.2

10639

8.4

3408

1.5

India

208

0.3

664

0.5

2751

1.2

China

1369

1.8

7572

6.0

 

 

Others

798

1.1

2403

1.9

657

0.3

$ 10000-100000

13043

17.5

10795

8.5

44602

19.9

China

 

 

 

 

36191

16.2

> $ 100000

52063

69.7

88111

69.6

145267

64.8

Others

7171

9.6

17021

13.4

30786

13.7

total

74652

100.0

126566

100.0

224062

100.0

The lowest levels of financial wealth per adult represent very little in total, in 2000, even though this group includes the two most populous countries on the planet. In 2008, its representativeness increases visibly due to the evolution registered by China, which, in 2019, now holds, by far, the largest share in the group of countries with an average financial wealth per adult in the $ 10,000 / 100,000 range. Still in 2019, the (low) volume of financial wealth in countries with lower capitation per adult, after the change of scale in China, will be dominated by the share of India, among several countries in Eastern Europe. 

In the group of countries with $ 10000/100000 of financial wealth per adult, the representation decreases in 2008, and in absolute terms.

There are two reasons for this change. One is because in 2008 several rich countries in Europe came to belong to the group of the richest - such as Belgium, France, Holland, Italy and, the Scandinavian countries, among others; and the other reason is that the countries that came from the lower echelon (<$ 10,000) - Eastern European and Balkan countries - show indicators of less financial wealth than those that moved to the upper echelon. The only rich countries that have remained in the group of those who have $ 10,000 / 100,000 of financial wealth per adult are Germany and Austria.

In 2019, the great rise in total financial wealth compared to 2008 is due, specifically, to the inclusion of China, which, as noted, increasingly assumes the role of financial power, which has been useful, not only for broadening the role of the yuan as an international currency, as well as to finance investments in the various countries crossed by the Silk Road infrastructure. Thus, China's financial wealth quintupled in 2008/19 while that of the USA increased by 89%; and, if the referred American wealth corresponded, in 2008, to nearly seven times the Chinese, in 2019 it was only 2.5 times.

As for the group of countries with the highest values ​​of financial wealth per adult (> $ 100000), the evolution does not differ much (+ 69% and + 65%, respectively in 2000/2008 and 2008/2019), although the number of included countries have evolved far beyond the four registered in 2000 (GB, Japan, USA and, Switzerland); 14 in 2008 and 16 in 2019, obviously all included among the wealthiest.

For the curious, the financial wealth recorded for Portugal has evolved throughout this period as follows - $ 206.8 billion in 2000, $ 481 billion in 2008 and $ 465 billion in 2019 where it is clear that the loss of wealth accompanied the great debt rise and, despite the sale of many public stakes in companies, imposed by the troika. 

Finally, the set of countries not individualized in this work (Other[6]) increase their share of global financial wealth in 2008, with little evolution in their representativeness in the most recent data.

4 - Inequalities in the distribution of financial wealth

As is well known, when capitalism globalizes its model of accumulation and distribution, it generates a dynamic where immense inequalities are formed, especially in economic terms; and, resulting in political, educational, health and, environmental inequities, among others.

The distribution of the adult world population by the various levels of financial wealth is clearly shown in the following table:

                    Table II - Distribution of the adult population by groups of countries and by capitation rate per adult

Financial wealth ($)

2000

2008

2019

millions

%

millions

%

millions

%

<10000

1825.5

49.1

2116.1

47.2

993.8

22.2

India

578.6

15.5

731.3

16.3

865.8

19.3

China

862.9

23.2

1015.2

22.6

 

 

Others

384.0

10.3

369.6

8.2

128.0

2.9

10000-100000

253.4

6.8

191.8

4.3

1436.9

32.0

China

 

 

 

 

1090.2

24.3

> 100000

351.5

9.4

520.3

11.6

669.0

14.9

Others

1291.0

34.7

1655.0

36.9

1385.0

30.9

World

3721.4

100.0

4483.6

100.0

5094.6

100.0

 We observe some of the huge discrepancies resulting from the comparison between Tables I and II; between plots in the global financial wealth and adults world population.

In the case of chosen countries with levels of financial wealth, per adult, below $ 10,000, it is observed that in the year 2000, 49.1% of the people held only 3.2% of the global financial wealth. And with the departure of China from this group, in 2019, 22.2% of the world's adult population owned 1.5% of the financial wealth, almost all of which belonged to India.

In the case of chosen countries with levels of financial wealth, per adult, below $ 10,000, it is observed that in the year 2000, 49.1% of the people held only 3.2% of the global financial wealth. And with the departure of China from this group, in 2019, 22.2% of the world's adult population owned 1.5% of the financial wealth, almost all of which belonged to India.

In the $ 10,000 / 100,000 bracket of financial wealth, in 2000, 6.8% of adults owned 17.5% of that wealth. In 2008, the gap remains but is less deep - 4.3% of adults with 8.5% of financial assets, an imbalance that remains in 2019, even with China's integration in this group.

The case of China is particularly noteworthy since, keeping its share in the world total of adults relatively constant (around 23%), its financial wealth evolves from 1.8% in 2000 to 16.2% in 2019, with 6% in 2008.

At the highest level of financial wealth holding (> $ 100,000 / adult), where the richest countries predominate - Western Europe, USA and, Japan - their financial wealth is just under 70% of the world total in 2000 and 2008, to decline to 64.8% in 2019. However, its adult population exceeds 9.4% of the total in 2000 and reaches 14.9% in 2019, most likely, as a result of aging, the arrival of many immigrants, having as counterpoint low birth rates.

As for the group of “Others”, the adult population exceeds 30% of the total and does not exceed 13.7% of the total financial wealth in 2019.

Table III summarizes the evolution of wealth per adult for the various segments of its dimension:                           

Table III - Wealth per adult ($)

Financial wealth / adult ($)

2000

2008

2019

$

<10000

1300.6

5027.8

3428.9

India

359.0

908.0

3176.9

China

1586.0

7459.1

 

Others

2078.0

6501.1

5133.1

10000-100000

3149.0

56282.6

31040.1

China

 

 

33196.9

> 100000

148116.7

169345.9

217129.2

Others

5554.6

10284.5

22227.9

World

20060.1

28228.6

43980.2

For the group of countries with the lowest financial wealth, their average levels in 2019 represent only 7.8% of the world indicator, with a drop compared to 2008 after China's promotion to a higher level. This passage is also reflected in the drop observed in the following wealth interval, which in 2008 had a high volume.

As for the highest level of wealth per adult, there is an increase in both periods, particularly in the last. This means that the wealthy did not have a major shock with the vicissitudes of the situation, even in the financial area, which constitutes their world[7].

In the residual group of “Others” there is an approximate doubling of the indicator in each of the two time intervals considered.

As described above, the evolution of financial wealth, even calculated per adult, is only an abstract indicator, this wealth has a high degree of volatility of the kind of electronic registration and unpredictability of operating of the so-called financial markets. 

(to be continued)

 This and other texts in:

 http://grazia-tanta.blogspot.com/     

http://www.slideshare.net/durgarrai/documents

https://en.scribd.com/uploads

 



[1]  The fixation of States with GDP growth corresponds to that of capitalists in constantly increasing profit and wealth, the accumulation of capital, even using wars, diseases, deficiencies and enormous sacrifices for humanity, to the point of generating pandemics, destruction and, endanger the balances that allow life on Earth. In times gone by, myths were generated about the tare of infinite accumulation of wealth, something similar to what became the logic of infinite GDP growth, currently facilitated by the greater presence with virtual money that allows an infinite accumulation of capital. Thus, one can think of the fable of King Midas that, in everything he touched turned into gold, be it food, a river or his own daughter; or, the version of Callimachus or Ovid in which the protagonist is the king of Thessaly, Erisicton, who for having cut down a sacred tree, was punished by the goddess Demeter with an insatiable hunger that made him reach the point of eating his own body.

[2]  Unique Taxpayer Reference (UTR) in Great-Britain or Taxpayer Identification Number (TIN) in USA

 [3]  In  Portugal,   1 billion= 10^12, 1 trillion = 10^18

[5] Only the value of derivatives (conservative notion) corresponds to $ 558,500 billion (BIS calculation) and the overall debt at $ 253,000 billion according to the IIF Debt Monitor. If the world GDP is in the order of $ 86000 billion, it would be necessary for Humanity to dedicate itself entirely to amortize debt for more than three years to settle that amount of debt, admitting that… there would be no generation of new debts, nor satisfaction of needs currents on the part of humanity. As, in fact, the debt is not payable, in general and for many countries, institutions and families, a conservative solution would be a return to the regular Jubilee already contained in the code of… Hamurabi. However, the so-called right or left of party spectrums are zealous defenders of the legitimacy and rigorous payment of public debts, begging only a small cut in interest rates… capitalism must go on … 

[6]  In Others are all African countries, those on the American continent excluding USA and Brazil and those in Asia and Oceania except China, India and Japan

[7]  Looking at these figures and comparing them to the $ 414 billion that make up the sum of the wealth of the five richest people on the planet (Bezos, Gates, Arnaud, Zuckerberg and Ellison) is disgusting.